this post was submitted on 21 Apr 2026
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[–] sneakypersimmon@lemmy.today 54 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

70% of babies born to teenage mothers are fathered by adult men; only 30% are fathered by teenagers. (National Center for Health Statistics, 1992; California Center for Health Statistics, 1993).

19% of pregnant teenagers had partners 6 years older or more (Alan Guttmacher Institute, 1994)

Of the pregnant teenagers had had an unwanted sexual experience, the ages of the perpetrators were:

o 18% were within two years of the victim's age

o 18% were 3-5 years older than the victim

o 17% were 6-10 years older than the victim

o 40% were more than ten years older than the victim (Gershenson et. al., 1989)

[–] UnspecificGravity@piefed.social 25 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (2 children)

Well that's fucking bleak.

Kinda stands to reason that the vast majority of child pregnancies are the result of inappropriate sexual contact, but it is still alarming to see the numbers pointing out HOW inappropriate.

[–] sneakypersimmon@lemmy.today 10 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Yeah it's really bleak. That's why I don't like seeing such casual whataboutism when it comes to young girls and their sexual activity.

It's very "not all men"

[–] Rivalarrival@lemmy.today 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (3 children)

I don't put much stock in this data.

First, it is 32 to 37 years out of date. Social norms have shifted drastically. At the time of these studies, The Cosby Show was the highest rated show on TV.

Second:

70% of babies born to teenage mothers are fathered by adult men; only 30% are fathered by teenagers.

The majority of these 1980s/1990s cases were 19-year-old "teenagers" and their 20-year-old partners. The mean age of motherhood in the 1970s was only 20.2 years. As many girls below that age were becoming mothers as women above that age. (That puts the mean age of conception at 19.5 years, making teenage pregnancy the norm)

Motherhood age rose slightly through the 1990s, and jumped in the early 2000s. It's currently 27.5 years and rising fast.

Third:

Of the pregnant teenagers had had an unwanted sexual experience,

The "unwanted" criterion might be doing a lot of work here. It might be including only a tiny percentage of all pregnancies. The greater the age difference, the more likely the experience was "unwanted". This criterion might be capturing 100% of pregnancies with >10 year difference, but only 5% of pregnancies with <2 year difference. The overwhelming majority of the aforementioned 19/20 families aren't being counted.

It's reasonable to say that it was bleak. It is not reasonable to say that it is bleak. This historical data does not reflect current trends.

[–] UnspecificGravity@piefed.social 5 points 1 week ago (27 children)

Nothing is stopping you from posting actual data instead of just whining that this is too old.

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[–] sneakypersimmon@lemmy.today 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Research suggests that multiple factors have led to lower teen birth rates in the United States. From the 1990s through 2019, the risk of teen pregnancy decreased primarily because of improved contraceptive use, including an increase in the use of more effective contraceptive methods (e.g., long-acting and reversible methods) and an increase in the use of multiple methods of contraception. During this period, some of the risk of pregnancy among younger teens declined because of decreased sexual activity; however, general trends in adolescent sexual activity have remained relatively stable. Broad economic and social variables may also influence teen behaviors, such as expanded educational or labor opportunities.

https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R45184

12 year olds still being raped and impregnated is bleak.

Contraception use has thankfully made teen pregnancies decline, but sexual activity remains relatively steady.

Regardless, the majority of 12 year olds who find themselves pregnant are victims.

[–] Rivalarrival@lemmy.today 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

12 year olds still being raped and impregnated is bleak.

Indeed. However, the cited data doesn't tell us anything about child rape. Sexual activity between two adolescents is not statutory rape. This is the overwhelming majority of cases.

[–] sneakypersimmon@lemmy.today 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (5 children)

Majority of rape and sexual assault aren't going to appear in hard numbers like this because of lack of reporting.

You can pretend like underage pregnancies are all from consensual underage sex, but I'm not going to close my eyes to truths of the world.

Also adult men having sex with underage girls IS rape.

[–] Rivalarrival@lemmy.today 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

You can pretend like underage pregnancies are all from consensual underage sex, but I'm not going to close my eyes to truths of the world.

I don't believe I said anything of the sort. My point was only that the data presented is not representative of the current state. We have every reason to believe that the cited numbers were recorded at or near their peak, and that they have fallen precipitously in the past 30+ years.

[–] sneakypersimmon@lemmy.today 3 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (2 children)

You also claimed those studies say nothing about child rape when it clearly shows adult men impregnate children.

And curiously enough tried to claim that underage pregnancy is no longer bleak.

Edit: what’s your point here? If it was just to point out the data is older, fine. Why are you pushing this idea that underage pregnancies are nothing to be worried about anymore and that it’s not bleak to have children being impregnated?

Do you really believe that because the rates have fallen that it’s not a concern or that it doesn’t occur?

[–] Rivalarrival@lemmy.today 3 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Fair. I should have said that the cited data provides no data quantifying the prevalence of child rape. From the cited data, you cannot tell me if it was derived from 60 cases or 60 million. From that data, you cannot tell me the scale of the problem. From that data, you cannot tell me how it stacks up to, say, murder, or cannibalism.

I can say that whatever it was in the early 1990's, it is far better now.

[–] sneakypersimmon@lemmy.today 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Just because it’s better now doesn’t mean it’s perfect.

Women and girls still get raped and assaulted every day.

[–] Rivalarrival@lemmy.today 1 points 1 week ago

Again, this data sucks. From this data we have no idea whether your claim is true. We all know your claim to be true and valid, but that conclusion does not arise from this particular data. This data is terrible.

[–] Rivalarrival@lemmy.today 2 points 1 week ago

You also claimed those studies say nothing about child rape when it clearly shows adult men impregnate children.

Rereading the cited data again, it doesn't actually say that adult men impregnate children.

Obviously, they do, but the presented data doesn't support that conclusion.

Is there perhaps some data that you didn't present that would support your argument? Did you miss something essential to your point?

Do these statistics refer to 60 19-year-old girls? 60 million 8-year-olds? How do you know? How would I know?

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[–] Virtvirt588@lemmy.world 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

It's reasonable to say that it was bleak. It is not reasonable to say that it is bleak. This historical data does not reflect current trends.

Thats the conclusion which should've been included within op's statement. Honestly such an outdated statistic is a poor indication of the status quo - because it isn't the status quo. OP may imply various repeated statements however it doesn't magically supplement the facts and statistics which exist today.

Within the research scene, OPs statement would be framed as misinformation due to its age - this factor alone is responsible here, so there is no room in twisting the logic here.

[–] sneakypersimmon@lemmy.today 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

There isn't a more current study on this topic that I could reasonably find.

Just because it has decreased doesn't mean that rape and sexual assaults don't happen to teenagers and children anymore.

[–] Virtvirt588@lemmy.world 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Just because it has decreased doesn't mean that rape and sexual assaults don't happen to teenagers and children anymore.

Yet again, you're missing the point. This conclusion was already stated by countless of oppositions to your argument.

The main point is the fact that your research is invalid to explain the status quo - its the logic thats the problem not that "rape has somehow evaporated from existence".

[–] sneakypersimmon@lemmy.today 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Yet again, you’re missing the point.

The point of the post is that a pregnant 12 year old is most likely a rape victim and finding the rapist should take precedence over preventing a child from getting an abortion.

[–] Rivalarrival@lemmy.today 1 points 1 week ago

The data in question does not support that point.

That doesn't mean the point is invalid.

Including this particular data detracts from this point. Either find a point that this data does support, or don't use this particular data.

[–] kkj@lemmy.dbzer0.com 7 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

Note that the first 36% (43% if you include the implied 7% where the father is more than two years younger) includes age pairings like 19/22, and many people would include something like 18/24 as somewhat acceptable. Underage pregnancies should really be tracked separately from teenage pregnancies.

Also, teenage pregnancy and violent crime are both way down from 1989 (crime more than 50% and teenage pregnancy about 75%). I wonder if/how those two factors would affect the numbers in a modern study.

[–] sneakypersimmon@lemmy.today 6 points 2 weeks ago (5 children)

I tried poking around for more recent comprehensive studies, but there wasn't as much out there.

Teen pregnancy is lower for sure thanks in large part to access to contraception. It's not because sexual activity and rape went down.

I'm still confident based on all the available information that the majority of 12 year olds that find themselves pregnant are victims of men.

[–] kkj@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (4 children)

Teen pregnancy is lower for sure thanks in large part to access to contraception. It's not because sexual activity and rape went down.

It's not only because of that, but it seems highly likely that that contributed. Impregnating children is, as you noted, almost always a sex crime, and sex crime is down by half. It's certainly possible that the entire decrease was in crimes against adults and AMAB children, but that seems unlikely.

I'm still confident based on all the available information that the majority of 12 year olds that find themselves pregnant are victims of men.

Absolutely, but 12-year-olds are not teenagers. The study you cited doesn't actually include anyone who gives birth at 12. That's one more reason to track underage pregnancies separately. 18/19-year-olds skew the numbers because they're above the age of consent, and girls below 13 don't contribute.

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[–] captainlezbian@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago

Yep, my ex's first husband first knocked her up in his 20s when she was 17. You'll never guess which one decades later supports accessible abortion for teenagers…