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What's really going to bad is when Trump tries to declare it's over...
Because Iran isn't just going to stop at this point.
I don't think trump realizes that by attacking Iran it gave them all the power in this scenario, they can keep that straight closed as long as they want.
And the whole time we're shooting down sub $1k drones with fucking patriot missiles.
America (and by extension Israel) can't afford to let this drag on. Both our burning thru defense stockpiles, and we just don't have the manufacturing capacity to keep up.
Meanwhile Iran (and more so China) can constantly produce a Black Mirror amount of drone continuously.
There's a very good chance that it leads to Bibi or trump launching a nuke. Most likely trump because he wouldn't care that much if Bibi and Israel got wiped out in response. If Bibi has been blackmailing him, trump would see that as a win-win and absolutely try to claim the glass wasteland.
He realizes exactly what's going on, he's counting on it. It wouldn't surprise me if he is working through back channels to ensure that Iran launches a major terrorist attack in October. He needs that to try to cancel elections.
Zelenskyy has been President all this time, after all, because they suspended elections while his country is being actively invaded. Trump heard this and thinks it can work here, too. It shouldn't work here, but who knows? Congress has abdicated it's ability to declare war to the President, they might just concede their ability to schedule elections too.
Suspension of elections during martial law is written into Ukraine's constitution. There is no legal framework in the US for the federal government to postpone or cancel state elections.
(I agree with you on your point that he's certainly going to try, I just wanted to expand on that a bit.)
Well, there is some wiggle room, as the date of Federal elections is determined by Congress. The current election date is set by statute. So, it can be rescheduled with a statute as well.
However, the term of Congress is set by the Constitution. And House seats, in particular, must be assigned based on election results. If the election is postponed into the New Year, then all House seats would be vacant. So if a Federal law either abolishes or postpones elections so they cannot be certified in time for the new Congress to convene, States would immediately challenge, and Blue states would probably hold the election on time anyway, anticipating a ruling in their favor. We may end up with a new Congress controlled by Democrats, only because Red states never held elections.
It would get a fast track to the Supreme Court, and then who knows? The outcome might depend on what gratuities are promised by both sides....
Until the Supreme Court decides there is one, using some obscure common law ruling from 1600's Britain as precedent.
You've Got the Map Backwards, Matt
He already tried to declare it's over. I think he was a bit shocked that reality isn't listening to him.
According to Chris Christie Trump believes that if he repeats something enough times it in fact becomes true.