Fuck AI

If you asked me last year, i might say its an existential crisis and they wont come back. Now though, I dont think thats necessarily a guarenteed outcome.

The more I use AI at work, and the more I experiment with custom harnesses/agents, the more clear it is that every task it does provides an output that must be validated and checked. Therefore, its a convenience tool.

Before VisiCalc, peoole had to make spreadsheets by hand on litteral paper. Manual calculations with a seperate calculator. Did VisiCalc (and later Excel) get rid of entry level jobs? I dont think it did.

We already have ample evidence of large companies trying to replace people with AI, with disasterous results. For the companies that have been reducing headcount because of AI, all they are doing is exposing themselves to future competitors. MS and Google become IBM and Bell Labs. New, hungry competitora take their place, and they hire like mad so their competitors dont get the talent.

We are seeing this play out right now in the case of hardware. Buying up all current and future supply to prevent competitors from having enough compute (without them getting a taste of course), but thats another story.

As to when? Beats me man, i work for a small startup that is still in "hire people we know" mode.