this post was submitted on 06 Apr 2026
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What're the odds of Trump nuking Iran? I know it sounds completely unhinged but so does Trump.
I mean his speach today he said iran had until tusday to make a deal or he would wipe them out in 24 hours, so worryingly high (or atleast the banner at the bottom said that, I wasn't paying close attention)
Impossible to say.
US/Israel have both backed down and escalated in response to Iranian deterrence. The rumor is the Israelis have complete control over what people and information reaches Trump. All three belligerents have reason to regard this conflict as existential.
It's very complex and multi-layered, and it seems like they fired all the Cold Warriors who did all the deterrence game theory back in the day