this post was submitted on 30 Mar 2026
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[–] AllNewTypeFace@leminal.space 101 points 1 week ago (71 children)

They can just hold the world’s supply of oil, ammonia and helium to ransom. Breaking an Iranian blockade by force would require a WW2-scale effort, with the US, Europe, China and the gulf states fighting alongside each other to take Tehran and impose some kind of regime change all parties find acceptable.

[–] piccolo@sh.itjust.works 14 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Isnt china and Iran allies and already have agreements for discounted oil trades?

[–] Khrux@ttrpg.network 4 points 1 week ago

China aren't strictly speaking allies. They get a lot of oil from Iran and have plenty of deals in place, to the point that many people believe that the Venezuela coup and Iran war are a US ploy to destabilise China specifically.

China basically stay out of geopolitics far more than people assume. They are very unlikely to enter the Iran war on either side, ever.

[–] brownsugga@lemmy.world 11 points 1 week ago

China and Russia would be fighting against the EU and US in that hypothetical wwiii scenario

[–] finallymadeanaccount@lemmy.world 1 points 1 week ago (5 children)

Unless Dickhead drops a nuke and threatens more. Which I wouldn't put past him.

[–] Tiresia@slrpnk.net 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Imagine if Iran nuked Washington DC, or even every American city with a population over 1 million. Would the US government surrender? Would the American people surrender even if the government did?

I imagine the US government would retreat to its mountain bunkers and say "come and get it", and many American civilians would join or support guerillas to fight any Iranian attempt at occupation. And that's true despite many Americans hating the current regime.

So why would the Iranian government or its people be any different?

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