Also, we're likely to see a change in behaviour from consumers, likely a decrease in non essential driving. I know I'm considering the driving I do a lot more carefully.

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments

[–] absGeekNZ@lemmy.nz 0 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

Agreed, it is foolhardy to jump in like this.

It snacks of truing to win a "gotcha", but the risk of looking like an idiot is high.

But then again, this is directly from the trump playbook, score the point now, by the time the dust settles no one will remember the details, just the impression that labour 'won' something a while back.

So maybe it's us that are the ones that are 'wrong' for questioning the strategy.

[–] BaconWrappedEnigma@lemmy.nz 0 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Accurate. We do live in a headline-driven society. Fuck TikTok and everything that is trying to emulate it now.

DISCLAIMER: The odds on me looking like an idiot are pretty high: https://polymarket.com/event/bacon-wrapped-enigma-looks-like-an-idiot-2026

[–] BaconWrappedEnigma@lemmy.nz 0 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

That disclaimer was just a joke but it is interesting to use polymarket as an odds indicator: https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-by

Currently the odds of a cease-fire:

Date	Percentage
March 31, 2026	14%
April 15, 2026	33%
April 30, 2026	45%
May 31, 2026	56%
June 30, 2026	63%
December 31, 2026	74%

[–] Ilovethebomb@lemmy.nz 0 points 2 weeks ago

What happens if nobody calls a ceasefire, but both sides stop bombing each other?