this post was submitted on 24 Mar 2026
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Labour's fuel maths on GST 'doesn't work out' - Luxon (www.rnz.co.nz)
submitted 2 weeks ago by Ilovethebomb@lemmy.nz to c/newzealand@lemmy.nz
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A really good explanation about how an increase in GST collected on fuel is likely to be offset by a decrease in spending elsewhere.

Also, we're likely to see a change in behaviour from consumers, likely a decrease in non essential driving. I know I'm considering the driving I do a lot more carefully.

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[–] BaconWrappedEnigma@lemmy.nz 0 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

That disclaimer was just a joke but it is interesting to use polymarket as an odds indicator: https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-by

Currently the odds of a cease-fire:

Date Percentage
March 31, 2026 14%
April 15, 2026 33%
April 30, 2026 45%
May 31, 2026 56%
June 30, 2026 63%
December 31, 2026 74%
[–] Ilovethebomb@lemmy.nz 0 points 2 weeks ago

What happens if nobody calls a ceasefire, but both sides stop bombing each other?