Also, we're likely to see a change in behaviour from consumers, likely a decrease in non essential driving. I know I'm considering the driving I do a lot more carefully.

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[–] BaconWrappedEnigma@lemmy.nz 0 points 3 months ago (2 children)

Good summary. It is hard to believe that Labour and National are the two most popular parties.

[–] absGeekNZ@lemmy.nz 0 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (1 children)

Agreed, it is foolhardy to jump in like this.

It snacks of truing to win a "gotcha", but the risk of looking like an idiot is high.

But then again, this is directly from the trump playbook, score the point now, by the time the dust settles no one will remember the details, just the impression that labour 'won' something a while back.

So maybe it's us that are the ones that are 'wrong' for questioning the strategy.

[–] BaconWrappedEnigma@lemmy.nz 0 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Accurate. We do live in a headline-driven society. Fuck TikTok and everything that is trying to emulate it now.

DISCLAIMER: The odds on me looking like an idiot are pretty high: https://polymarket.com/event/bacon-wrapped-enigma-looks-like-an-idiot-2026

[–] BaconWrappedEnigma@lemmy.nz 0 points 3 months ago (1 children)

That disclaimer was just a joke but it is interesting to use polymarket as an odds indicator: https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-by

Currently the odds of a cease-fire:

Date	Percentage
March 31, 2026	14%
April 15, 2026	33%
April 30, 2026	45%
May 31, 2026	56%
June 30, 2026	63%
December 31, 2026	74%

[–] Ilovethebomb@lemmy.nz 0 points 3 months ago

What happens if nobody calls a ceasefire, but both sides stop bombing each other?

[–] Ilovethebomb@lemmy.nz 0 points 3 months ago

I've been pretty disappointed with the way Hipkins has handled this event to be honest.

He's been very critical of the government, while at the same time refusing to say what Labour would do differently. And my reaction to people like that is typically to tell them to fuck right off.