Trillion dollar valuation right here.
rwrwefwef
joined 2 months ago
Not even a ceasefire just a straight defeat.
Probably why it won't last, or at least violated several times.
Trump wanted an off ramp, but ultimately, it was Iran that handed it to him. Probably won't do much else in the end but buying time.
What do they have to lose though? The moment the US starts bombing again the missiles start to fly.
What they lose is momentum. Oil prices, which is basically the only thing the Trump base cares about, are already falling, and if the ceasefire ever breaks, it will take quite some time to build them back up again. A lot of countries are already making plans to diversify away from the Gulf to mitigate that risk, some are looking into pipelines to avoid the strait altogether. All of which diminishes what leverage Iran has.
A second closure of the strait of Hormuz will much, much less effective.
Secondly, the politicians, journos and billionaires who supported that war on Iran are still very much here. This is far from over. The Americans will be back; not tomorrow, maybe not even this year, but when some opportunity arises again. This war was Iran's chance to engrave into the American psyche some Vietnam-like PTSD every time they hear the word "Hormuz", to make sure they never, ever try an attack like this again. With this ceasefire, they're forfeiting that too, further allowing the US to buy more time.
Will still be the case; they need to fund the reparations.
when his demands were met?
were they?
Iran did not give up its uranium, nor was there regime change. The only thing he got was getting the strait open, but that was never a problem before the war he started.
Their Foreign Minister did reply to the proposal, promising to open the strait, their only leverage, for the duration of the negotiations.
What bothers me is that the Iranians seem to take this bait literally without being too critical. They're basically saying that they're ready to open the strait right away for negotiations to happen, even when Trump bombed their country during the previous ones. I think they will come to regret this.
The ubiquitous two more weeks.
$500 million was probably just wired from some Epstein fund directly to the Pakistan PM's account.
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An embarrassment within an embarrassment...