There's been a spate of Discord-based hacking attempts lately, two of my friends have had to do this. They can't get their old accounts back, Discord is basically just ignoring them. Starting new accounts is easy.
The hard part is that they also lost their gmail accounts, that's a lot more important for most people to be able to recover. I recommend everyone with a gmail account do the "create an emergency recovery code" thing, print it out and store it somewhere safely off anything digital.
I've pondered my own lack of interest and I think it comes down to the Artemis program's design being such a shitshow. Sure, if you throw enough brute force budget and a long enough time you can get astronauts back to the Moon. But they're doing it in such a poor manner that I doubt anything will come of it long-term. It's going to be another unsustainable flags-and-foot-prints stunt.
Some of the recent changes hint at NASA maybe finally getting their act together, but I'll believe it when I see it - NASA doesn't actually call the shots here. It's a political program.
Hardly surprising considering the increasingly extreme narratives being driven about AI on social media.
The Democrats never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity.
I'm sure this isn't really about saving money. It's about destroying the US Forest Service. That's the direct goal.
If NATO were to be killed, the non-US members would most likely want to create a new alliance just like NATO but without the US in it. So if the US leaves it may be simplest to just tweak the existing one.
Sure, but as the market's resolution date approaches that's increasingly a gamble. "Suckers" should be harder and hard to find as the outcome becomes more certain. The election's less than a week away now so I would expect vibe-based participants to be starting to lose their shirts at this point.
Yes, but they're set up so that the best way to make that money is to make correct "bets" by whatever means. It's not like a poker game where the best way to make money is to calculate odds and understand the psychology of the other players, it's specifically "you make money if you know more about the thing being bet on than other participants."
On the other hand, it's well designed to surface inside information. Exactly the thing that lots of people complain about, but it's a good thing if you'd like to use the prediction market to make predictions like this.
The goal of prediction markets is to try to surface an "expert" opinion. People who are betting there are presumably deciding their position based on polling data, along with other factors such as how likely they think Orban or others are to cheat the results and how likely events that could change the polling numbers are to occur.
People who decry the "insider trading" that happens in prediction markets are missing that insider trading is exactly the point of something like this. If there's someone inside Orban's inner circle who knows something nobody else does that makes them more certain of a particular outcome here, they would be rewarded by making their knowledge "public" by placing bets on the prediction and as a result pushing the odds in some direction based on that knowledge.
There are people who gamble on these markets without any special research or inside knowledge to guide them, just going by their guts, and the goal of prediction markets is that over time these people will lose their money and stop gambling like this. They're not contributing information and are "punished" for their interference.
Similarly, the United States goes to war against the fundamentalist theocracy in Iran. And who do I find myself kinda sorta rooting for?