this post was submitted on 10 Apr 2026
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politics

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cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ca/post/63084048

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[–] resipsaloquitur@lemmy.world 10 points 1 day ago

Well done, James.

[–] wrinkle2409@lemmy.cafe 10 points 1 day ago (1 children)

It is using polymarket and kalshi to get an estimate of 30%. I don't know how reliable that is as a source of information

[–] Beeen132@feddit.org 2 points 1 day ago

Thanks for reading the article

[–] PumpkinSkink@lemmy.world 9 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Only his election chance are dead... Orban got off easier than the Pope.

[–] jestho@lemmy.zip 5 points 1 day ago

Well, it takes a couple of days... 🤞

[–] selokichtli@lemmy.ml 6 points 1 day ago

Fortunately for Orban, Trump didn't pick up the phone.

[–] Rcklsabndn@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 day ago

It just occurred to me that Vance is probably the only VP in history that would hungrily eye the Cuck Chair.

[–] Blackmist@feddit.uk 5 points 1 day ago

I can't think of anyone more unpopular than Vance.

I mean Trump's a massive cunt, but at least his own side like him.

Vance hasn't even got that...

[–] mysticpickle@lemmy.ca 82 points 2 days ago (1 children)
[–] frunch@lemmy.world 14 points 1 day ago

Thank you 😂

[–] radiouser@crazypeople.online 8 points 1 day ago

Well... He did warn about foreign interests interfering with elections... Looks like he achieved his goal.

[–] hume_lemmy@lemmy.ca 23 points 1 day ago

Wow, did JD's death aura kill Orban's chances?

[–] llamatron@lemmy.world 43 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Anything Trump touches, and by extension Vance, turns to shit.

[–] Flying_Lynx@lemmy.ml 17 points 2 days ago

A turd painted with gold spray paint is still a turd. King Turd.

[–] stumu415@lemmy.zip 14 points 1 day ago

That's the kinda meddling we need.

[–] CircaV@lemmy.ca 11 points 1 day ago (1 children)
[–] jestho@lemmy.zip 2 points 1 day ago

Couch fuck of death

[–] santa@sh.itjust.works 9 points 2 days ago

Time for another rally to make the chances even less!

[–] Monte_Crisco@thelemmy.club 5 points 1 day ago

Gonna be watching closely on Sunday. I heard that, due to Orban’s corruption, the other guy will need to take at least 55% of the vote in order for the results to show him victorious.

[–] frunch@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Don't tell me: they sent him on a donut run 😬

[–] jestho@lemmy.zip 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

How long have you been working here?

[–] RaoulDuke25@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 1 day ago

Whatever works

[–] bearboiblake@pawb.social 4 points 2 days ago (15 children)

Europe needs to elect socialist leaders to respond to this moment, or fall into the grips of fascism.

How does capitalism inevitably lead to fascism?

Basically, the issue with capitalism is that the more wealth you have, the easier it is for you to make more money. And since money can be used to buy goods, services and influence, there is always a way to use money to gain more political and social power. With that political and social power, you can push society and the legal system in the direction you want to go. So you can use your wealth to gain power, and then you can use your power to change laws and society so that you can make even more wealth and power. It’s a positive feedback loop.

Obviously, though, if the billionaires and ruling class are accumulating more and more of our society’s wealth, that inevitably means that there’s less for everyone else to go around - therefore, working class people feel poorer and poorer. Meanwhile, the economy is going absolutely great for rich people, so inflation continues to go up - everything gets more expensive, but wages don’t increase. The wealthy just keep more and more of the wealth for themselves. To accumulate more and more wealth, they change the laws so that they can avoid paying taxes, so public services collapse. Politicians are lobbied to ensure that public funds are diverted away from where it is most needed - housing, healthcare, transportation, infrastructure - and instead into industries where their class interests most benefit from it, such as weapons manufacturing and extractive industries such as fossil fuels and mining.

The working class are bound to notice that their lives are getting shittier and shittier, and if that situation is left unchecked, the working class would realize that the ruling class are fucking them over, rise up, and overthrow their rulers. Obviously, the ruling class need to do something about this, but there’s no solution that the ruling class can offer. They’re causing all of the problems, to fix them they’d have to give up some of their wealth and power - and that’s not something they’re going to do. So they need to find someone else to blame the problems we have in society on. Unfortunately, though, no matter who they blame the problems on, and no matter what they do to “fix” it, the issue will continue to persist, because the material conditions underlying the issues are, very intentionally, never addressed.

So, the conundrum returns: The ruling class said that minority A caused all of the problems, minority A is persecuted and oppressed, but society doesn’t actually get any better. Either the problem wasn’t minority A, or minority A just hasn’t been oppressed enough yet. So the ruling class can either escalate the oppression, or they can shift the focus to another minority group. The division continues to escalate in terms of how vitriolic and extreme it is, and it also continues to divide the working class into smaller and smaller groups.

To get the working class to buy into this hateful message, they need to take advantage of our worst instincts, and one of those instincts is the in-group bias. The majority are manipulated into being suspicious, then intolerant, then hateful, then violent, then genocidal, towards whatever the targeted minority of the day is. Anything that can be used to divide the working class - sexuality, nationality, immigration status, ethnicity, religion, sex, gender identity, age, all of these will be used as wedges to keep the working class split apart and not working together, because they know that if the working class actually unite against them, they are completely and truly fucked.

That’s exactly how fascism manifests. It’s because it’s possible for people to accumulate power through wealth. This is why capitalism must be abolished. If we do not abolish capitalism, fascism will always return. It’s just a matter of time.

But can't capitalism can be reformed?

Capitalism cannot be reformed, any attempts to reform, democratize or socialize capitalism may yield short term improvements to quality of life of the working class, but if capitalism is not abolished, it will always reassert itself, and capitalism inevitably leads towards fascism. The New Deal prevented the US from sliding into fascism in the 20th century, so that’s ultimately a good thing, but it did not go far enough, and that’s why we have the resurgence of fascism in the 21st century America.

[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago (14 children)

When half of Europe had socialist leaders, that half of Europe was total shit authoritarian countries that oppressed the population, and prevented progress.

[–] Olhonestjim@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

That's because they were authoritarian, not socialist. Just like the Nazis called themselves socialist, despite being obviously authoritarian. Same way that American fascists love to co-opt and redefine words like "liberty, freedom, grooming," etc.

[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world -2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Socialism is authoritarian. There has never existed an example of a Socialist regime that wasn't.

[–] bearboiblake@pawb.social 1 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

This guy refuses to engage with the fact that the Zapatistas exist, an anarchist region with at least 300,000 people living under it, and also that Revolutionary Spain existed, an extremely successful example of anarchism in practice which resisted Nazi Germany better than any democratic nation in mainland Europe. I have pointed them out to him a few times now and he just keeps ignoring it, like an NPC in Westworld. It's more comfortable to deny reality when it lets you go on believing your existing beliefs. Admitting that you're wrong is hard.

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