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Engineers avoiding its use and solving problems personally are playing the long game. They know that the current LLM tech will collapse - probably due to rising fees and the need to keep growing - and people will be ill-equipped to dig out from under the technical debt -- a very real problem.
What makes you think it will collapse?
There are just so many big questions out there surrounding AI and it’s masters and biggest cheerleaders don’t have straight answers for them.
Considering the fact that there are open weight models that are pretty close™️ to frontier has me thinking otherwise. Yes I think the frontier companies will probably be face to face with collapse, but capable (and cheap) models already exist and will continue to improve. I think it’s much more likely that companies will simply run their own models (possibly custom agent harness as well) and have all the benefits they were looking for at a fraction of the cost. That being said I do think there will be a significant plateau of capabilities in the next year or so and leadership will realize these are just helpful tools and nothing more.
All that is to say, I don’t agree with your assertion that coders who are not using AI will have any sort of competitive advantage. In fact I think they’re hurting themselves in the long run. I think skeptical engineers who have a foot in both worlds are actually the best equipped for the future. Accelerate your workflow but not at the expense of quality/security.