this post was submitted on 01 Apr 2026
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China doesn't have allies, only business partners.
Nuking a carrier group would probably doom humanity.
I hope that the war in Iran is the last gasp of American empire, but gravity of international relations remains centered in North America, the only country with the wealth, navy, and air force to project power worldwide.
If drones advance to change that, so any country can war on any other from anywhere on the globe, then we will see a global siesmic shift, and carriers will be as useless as battleships. But until then? The US remains the center of global power.
Europe will move for negotiating power, so their militilaries are not dependant on the US, but the food production, fossil fuels, and navy will keep the money in North america for the rest of my life.
A better way to go through life, that also makes the business partners friendlier to your continued business.
Sinking ships is permitted response to war declared upon you. MAD is only about ICBMs headed towards homeland to fire back before they land.
Russia's patience is only about enduring a proxy war that makes it stronger, with better political capital unity for rulership. Direct war fails containment restraints.
The US would absolutely respond with a nuclear strike of our own, and with current leadership, way out of proportion.
Cooler heads could prevail, but I'm not hopeful in that scenario.
Of course, we should not be blockading them in the first place unless they try to take Taiwan.