United Kingdom
General community for news/discussion in the UK.
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They'll ban it for private individuals and home ISP connections, and allow businesses to pay for a commercial VPN licence.
It's just not that simple, as private individuals do contract work and manage private businesses, large residential and commercial complexes use VPNs to manage high network traffic and guarantee security, and off-site IT support regularly use VPNs for elevated access.
Retail VPNs don't even strictly evade ISPs. They simply route traffic through their own hubs and then on to the destination. If the UK were to "ban VPNs" that wouldn't really stop me from connecting to a US or French based VPN service. And that's what I'd want anyway, since my goal is to not appear to be a UK resident while trafficking data.
I see it being a law that's not generally enforceable, but whose purpose is to empower the authorities to enforce it selectively against targets chosen for political reasons.
Nothing more British than selectively enforcing overbroad legislation against minorities and dissidents.
If it's anything it'll probably be age verification at point of sale for the VPN for retail VPN providers. Pay with a credit card kinda deal. I know that's not ideal, hell none of it is, but I think it's how steam dealt with it and that worked OK.