this post was submitted on 24 Aug 2025
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A huge part of the COVID bump was that, on top of trump being blamed for economic conditions, he didn't get to campaign and Biden didn't need to. That might be equalised in 2028 if the republicans fail to get someone decent at campaigning, and none of the likely candidates right now can hold a candle to Trump's empty podium.
If I had to bet on anything, it'd be hot potato for the next few elections until either another war of aggression or some charismatic left liberal doing some reforms that'll be undone by the next decade.