I think 10x is a reasonable long term goal, given continued improvements in models, agentic systems, tooling, and proper use of them.
It's close already for some use cases, for example understanding a new code base with the help of cursor agent is kind of insane.
We've only had these tools for a few years, and I expect software development will be unrecognizable in ten more.
Essentially, yes. Great point! I think it needs more features to function more like a social network (transitive topic-based sharing, for one)
Hah, I designed one as well!
I think the flow of information has to be fundamentally different.
In mine, people only receive data directly from people they know and trust in real life. This makes scaling easy, and makes it impossible for centralized entities to broadcast propaganda to everyone at once.
I described it at freetheinter.net if you're interested
yeah, I think the OP's take is really naive
the tools and models will get a lot better, but more importantly the end products that succeed will make measured, judicious use of AI.
there always has been slop, and people will always misuse tools and create abominations, but the heights of greatness that are possible are increasing with AI, not decreasing