codeinabox

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Over the past 16 months, DX has been running a longitudinal study on AI’s impact on engineering velocity across a sample of more than 400 engineering organizations. We found that as AI tool usage increased by an average of 65%, median PR throughput increased by just under 8%. Most organizations are landing in the 5–15% range—a meaningful gain, but far below the 3x or 10x expectations many leaders are being held to.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 1 points 3 months ago

I originally shared this after stumbling upon it in one of Martin Fowler's posts.

The article reminds me of how my mother used to buy dress patterns, blueprints if you will, for making her own clothes. This no code library is much the same, because it offers blueprints if you wanted to build your own implementation.

So the thing that interests me is what has more value - the code or the specifications? You could argue in this age of AI assisted coding that code is cheap but business requirements still involve a lot of effort and research.

To give a non-coding example, I've been wanting to get some cupboards built, and every time I contact a carpenter about this, it's quite expensive to get something bespoke made. However, if I could buy blueprints that I could tweak, then in theory, I could get a handyman to build it for a lower cost.

This is a very roundabout way of saying I do think there are some scenarios where the specifications would be more beneficial than the implementation.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 2 points 3 months ago

Thank you everyone for your input. I have created a separate community, !aicoding@programming.dev, for AI coding related discussions.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 4 points 3 months ago (1 children)

I agree with you on that point, and the same could be said about the meat and dairy industry. However I don't think the answer is censoring discussions about cooking beef or chicken.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 6 points 3 months ago (3 children)

You can't compare racist posts, which are a form of hate speech and a breach of this instance's code of conduct, with discussions about topics that you don't agree with.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 0 points 3 months ago

Good question. I have asked this very question https://programming.dev/post/45013854

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 4 points 3 months ago (2 children)

Expensive as hell! 🤑

Yegge describes Gas Town as “expensive as hell… you won’t like Gas Town if you ever have to think, even for a moment, about where money comes from.” He’s on his second Claude account to get around Anthropic’s spending limits.

I can’t find any mention online of the per-account limits, but let’s conservatively assume he’s spending at least $2,000 USD per month, and liberally $5,000.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 27 points 3 months ago (7 children)

I am not surprised that there are parallels between vibe coding and gambling:

With vibe coding, people often report not realizing until hours, weeks, or even months later whether the code produced is any good. They find new bugs or they can’t make simple modifications; the program crashes in unexpected ways. Moreover, the signs of how hard the AI coding agent is working and the quantities of code produced often seem like short-term indicators of productivity. These can trigger the same feelings as the celebratory noises from the multiline slot machine.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev -4 points 3 months ago (9 children)

Where did you get the impression that the author is an inexperienced developer and finance bro? The introduces himself as someone who started programming from the age of eleven.

I’m Michael Arnaldi, Founder and CEO of Effectful Technologies — the company behind Effect, the TypeScript library for building production-grade systems. I’ve been programming most of my life. I started at 11 with the goal of cracking video games. Since then, I’ve written code at every level: from kernel development to the highest abstractions in TypeScript.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 57 points 3 months ago (8 children)

I think the most interesting, and also concerning, point is the eighth point, that people may become busier than ever.

After guiding way too many hobby projects through Claude Code over the past two months, I’m starting to think that most people won’t become unemployed due to AI—they will become busier than ever. Power tools allow more work to be done in less time, and the economy will demand more productivity to match.

Consider the advent of the steam shovel, which allowed humans to dig holes faster than a team using hand shovels. It made existing projects faster and new projects possible. But think about the human operator of the steam shovel. Suddenly, we had a tireless tool that could work 24 hours a day if fueled up and maintained properly, while the human piloting it would need to eat, sleep, and rest.

In fact, we may end up needing new protections for human knowledge workers using these tireless information engines to implement their ideas, much as unions rose as a response to industrial production lines over 100 years ago. Humans need rest, even when machines don’t.

This does sound very much like what Cory Doctorow refers to as a reverse-centaur, where the developer's responsibility becomes overseeing the AI tool.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 12 points 3 months ago (6 children)

This article is quite interesting! There are a few standout quotes for me:

On one hand, we are witnessing the true democratisation of software creation. The barrier to entry has effectively collapsed. For the first time, non-developers aren’t just consumers of software - they are the architects of their own tools.

The democratisation effect is something I've been thinking about myself, as hiring developers or learning to code doesn't come cheap. However, if it allows non-profits to build ideas that can make our world a better place, then that is a good thing.

We’re entering a new era of software development where the goal isn't always longevity. For years, the industry has been obsessed with building "platforms" and "ecosystems," but the tide is shifting toward something more ephemeral. We're moving from SaaS to scratchpads.

A lot of this new software isn't meant to live forever. In fact, it’s the opposite. People are increasingly building tools to solve a single, specific problem exactly once—and then discarding them. It is software as a disposable utility, designed for the immediate "now" rather than the distant "later."

I've not thought about it in this way but this is a really good point. When you make code cheap, it makes it easier to create bespoke short-lived solutions.

The real cost of software isn’t the initial write; it’s the maintenance, the edge cases, the mounting UX debt, and the complexities of data ownership. These "fast" solutions are brittle.

Though, as much as these tools might democratise software development, they still require engineering expertise to be sustainable.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 5 points 3 months ago

I had originally meant to post it here, but I accidentally posted it to a different instance.

[–] codeinabox@programming.dev 17 points 4 months ago

Thank you! I've added the image to the post as well.

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