abs_mess

Sanitation Engineer

"american political post" -> "cornfield"

I yearn to cover the land in a mono culture, destroy countless habitats and displace all natural wildlife to grow a crop that is used as cattle feed for cows that directly contribute to accelerated climate change, cause obesity in every part of this country, and indirectly subsidize car infrastructure due to the use of biofuels.

Begone, apolitical cornfield, while I celebrate these small victories.

Right, so that, er is not what we are talking about. You seem do be under the impression that "facts" are undisputable. They are not. We believe them, because we can put them to every test we can think of, to build a body of evidence that lends credence to a 'theory', hence the requirement for statements to be falsifiable.

This theory of knowledge is a hard requirement for any field associated with research and is well defined. In this case, we must default to the NULL hypothesis ( X does not exist) because we cannot formulate a falsifiable statement for ( X does exist). We can falsify our NULL by providing evidence for X ( X is this, X is here, X can do this). However, for most tests we default to alpha = 0.05 for statistical significance because of convention, and because data must be gathered in batches, sometimes inaccurate. Likewise, proving life on Mars is hard, because we must first falsify every other possible theory before we can claim "the presence of this compound cannot be explained by any other theory aside from the presence of life" as we cannot observe anything directly.

I am not going to teach a lower level stats class in a comment section, but our physicist is correct in stating that this is a belief , because that is what it is - a extremely well tested belief, that we can consider to be "fact" in common parlance. You could of course chose not to believe it, if you can disregard all of human achievement.

She would've been a bike~~

So technically, in math we refer to the core "ideas" from which all mathematics is derived as axioms, which we hold to be true until found to be false/self-contradictory/redundant. We arrive at these by describing the world, so it's more like - "if you agree to the following statements, then you must also agree to the entirety of mathematics".

Continuing with the occupational pedantry, I think there is some confusion lies in conflating "fact (repeatable observation)" with "fact (tested causal mechanism)"

So, kinda not really, but kinda? This is more philosophy but i think the idea is that as long as we can ensure that "there exists a statement for which there is a piece of evidence that can prove a statement false, but no evidence exists after significant testing and experiments" IRL we can use this interchangeably with "I have found a causal mechanism that causes this phenomena and can replicate the effect while controlling for confounding variables". Statements under both are true and correct to the best of our understanding.

Well, that's surprisingly close to what happened in the past. The issue is that "Agents" (humanity/AI irrelevant here) aren't really something that is exploitable in a consistent manner.

1. You can automate small jobs, but LLM-based* agents are behind the curve.
2. Taking transaction fees is easier than doing a job.

Agents already exist, have been autonomous for 10+ years. Currency arbitrage, sentiment based stock market analysis down to micro seconds, capital intensive ticket scalping, dynamic hardware reconfiguration for crypto mining... all exist as fully autonomous compute based money makers. LLMs can't compete with the incumbents, so it has to compete with random people on the Internet, and since LLM aren't consistent enough to be profitable, (insanity irrelevant, re: Pepsi Vending Machine) they just get turned off.

See also: Mechanical Turk (really anything Amazon 2014ish) Ticketmaster vs Taylor Swift, Verilog Impl Bitcoin, Jane Street, Bitcoin Transaction fees, Fivver Transaction fees, Credit card transaction fees, LinkedIn trying to suck blood from a stone, eBay transaction fees, Apple Store transaction fees, Valve sale transaction fees, toll roads..

你放屁

How many times is this gonna get posted? It gets dunked on every time too...

The Charlie Kirk assassination was staged because people didn't hesitate before grabbing the bloodied merch, despite, ya know, the assassination.

ooooohh it's so dangerous and capable ooohhhhh please we need to be regulated ooooooo we're not releasing it to the public it's so dangerous ooooooo

I'm not much for introspection, but when you put it like that ... yes actually.

I will tell you that I grew up a bit conservative and one of the things that "The American media apparatus and conservative think tanks and their unholy amounts of billionaire funding Koch et al." did was build up the idea of politics as a sleazeball game to disenfranchise people. I still believe it a bit. Biff had by and large built up a cult following based in no small part that he was at one point an outsider and "tells it like it is", unapologetically petty, stupid, but also affable and a joker, racist and greedy.

He (was?), genuinely bonafide stupid and watches TV all day and enough people thought that that was their best reflection. "Authentic" but also... really bleak.

/j

So there's this thing called MFA, that I'm sure we all know about, because when a woman really loves a man, she will look at her partners sticky notes and upgrade them to windows 11.