I sincerely hope that gentle but steadfast efforts of the EU will allow for our Eastern European political culture to gradually grow up. In this regard, recent Hungarian events are an inspiring example.
Do you think this is realistic?
Ulara
joined 3 years ago
Well, China has much more leverage to continue this profitable arrangement. And the question arises, what would be the most profitable endgame for China? Since Moscovia evidently can't win the war, for China the most desirable endgame is probably to return the Far East territories it once lost, in a final deal with Moscovia. Apparently that's why China has already changed the names of those Far Eastern locations on Chinese maps to their earlier pre-russian versions.
It's interesting to note why exactly it lost to Sweden and Russian empires - largely because of the haughtiness of Polish nobility that wroke havoc on collective decision making. Apparently this haughtiness still survives and it will take more historical lessons to completely overcome it.
Imperial status, even for a short time, and even in failed empires, is quite an addictive drug for haughtiness that may take centuries to wear off.
Well, it makes sense if you interpret both the Soviet Union and Russian Federation through the lense of state capitalism. IMHO, it's the worst possible and most aggressive kind of capitalism, which does not have checks and balances. In modern Moscovia with its personalized mafia cleptocracy, it gets even worse than in the Soviet Union that operated on somewhat collective decision making. Hence the lawlessness, raider attacks and shootouts. And of course, aggression toward neighbouring states.
The Poles were once a mini-empire, subjugating Ukraine. Evidently some of them want a historical revanche after the loss of this status. The same is true for Hungary, which also once was the metropoly of Austria-Hungary, with part of Ukraine subjugated to it.
As a Ukrainian, I would say there is a grain of truth in what you say, with several important caveats.
First, Moscovia already collapsed as a nation due to many centuries of imperial history. At least since the beginning of the 20th century, being Russian is not about nationality, it is about belonging to the Russian empire. This is the last extant empire in Europe, oppressing numerous nations, and it is inevitably going to break down like all the others.
Interestingly, Moscovia started as a colony of the Kyiv Rus, and the history might repeat, but in a quite different manner. Since the empire is clearly inefficient, it will be gradually taken over by other more efficient states, albeit not by old style occupation. Plain occupation is impossible because of the huge territory.
Somalia story gives clues on what is likely to happen next. Many years ago Somalia leadership wanted to restore a "great Somali" as an imperial revanchist project. Then it lost the war and broke down. Now neighbouring states have established orderly protectorates near their borders, while there's still mayhem in the center of Somalia.
Similarly, the EU, and Ukraine in particular, may support civil order in new protectorates on neighbouring territories, with a perspective of eventual EU expansion further East.
You are right, stringent controls will be necessary.
If it denuclearizes, why not.
It's not a stop, this character indicates that the preceding consonant is soft.
Thank you for your kind support! 🙏
It is indeed difficult, and we are tired.
However, I keep in mind that, compared to previous Moscovian genocides in Ukraine, this one is less bloody. We also have more international recognition and support than during any previous Moscovian invasion. Since our ancestors survived much more brutal attacks, we are bound to overcome this latest wave of Moscovian imperial onslaught. We know too well what can happen otherwise.
Glory to the worldwide people of goodwill 🙏
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365-19 days left. And I hope that by now their semiconductor manufacturing capabilities are maimed.