this post was submitted on 11 Aug 2026
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[–] DeadDigger@lemmy.zip 18 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Call: if openai tanks it's IPO, a lot of ram and SSD manufacturers will tank too

[–] DFX4509B@lemmy.wtf 5 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

That's the whole idea. Buy up all the silicon production, go public, tank and take the rest of the tech industry down with you, and rule the world.

[–] jj4211@lemmy.world 5 points 2 days ago

Hence why openAI seems now to want to stall IPO as long as they can...

And you are right, they singlehandedly are most of the problem despite not even being in the strongest position even if you are bullish on AI.

[–] nehal3m@lemmy.zip 114 points 3 days ago (2 children)

analysts warn costs won't normalize until 2028, so buy RAM and SSDs now.

I’ll buy RAM and SSD’s then, thanks.

[–] village604@adultswim.fan 20 points 2 days ago

spoilerIt won't ever go back down

[–] 0ops@piefed.zip 13 points 2 days ago

The fucking gall, right?

[–] lechekaflan@lemmy.world 10 points 2 days ago (2 children)

I hate this stupid gold rush at the expense of the consumer.

[–] anon_8675309@lemmy.world 7 points 2 days ago

Who else would it be at the expense of?

The wealthy haven’t finished funneling everything to themselves.

[–] Fizz@lemmy.nz 2 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Selling to consumers is charity at this point. They are such a tiny portion of the market. Consumer will lose always unless regulations step in.

Witg finite supply casual users will lose against people using computers to make money.

[–] solrize@lemmy.ml 47 points 3 days ago (3 children)

Yeah that's happened before, with both memory and hard drives. A flood in Thailand caused HDD shortages and price spikes for a year or two around 2012, and there was a similar situation with DRAM some years earlier. There have also been GPU and SSD shortages due to cryptocurrency idiots. This may just be more of the same.

[–] Damage@feddit.it 25 points 3 days ago (1 children)

The GPU shortage may have ended but the crazy prices never really went away

[–] ParlimentOfDoom@piefed.zip 3 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Because as the crypto demand ended, the AI demand for high end gpus rose

[–] Damage@feddit.it 5 points 2 days ago (1 children)

There was some time in between actually

[–] ParlimentOfDoom@piefed.zip 1 points 2 days ago

And prices settled a bit during those few months.

[–] village604@adultswim.fan 6 points 2 days ago (1 children)

This time is different because the chip fabs intentionally retooled for AI chips. It's not an uncontrollable external pressure.

There's no guarantee that they'll switch back to consumer modules after the bubble pops. I'm willing to bet that Big Tech's contingency plan to the pop is to utilize a dead consumer market to push subscription based virtual desktops and zero clients.

[–] T156@lemmy.world 2 points 2 days ago

At least one major manufacturer also outright pulled out of the consumer market entirely. There's no guarantee that they'll come back, or else they would have just kept the consumer arm.

[–] RunningInRVA@lemmy.world 9 points 3 days ago (2 children)

In capitalism, if the demand is outstripping supply then eventually higher prices will command greater investment and the eventual return to normalcy of the supply vs demand curve. In theory it is more of the same, but how prolonged it will be will be dependent on when the AI supply/demand curve achieves normalcy.

[–] solrize@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 day ago

Unfortunately besides chips, another huge input to this AI crap is electric power, which is coming mostly from expanding fossil fuel consumption and thus increasing planetary heating. Economists' intersecting curves are of no help with that.

[–] solrize@lemmy.ml 4 points 3 days ago

Some of the shortages have been due to supply interruptions, like the hard drive factory getting flooded, or similarly with a DRAM factory catching on fire. I don't know what happened after the Chia lunacy (Chia was a crypto currency that consumed vast amounts of SSD space and destroyed the SSD's through extreme write wear) but prices did normalize after a while. I know that Chia was the final straw that got Hetzner to ban crypto mining on its hardware outright. Previously, it was forbidden on VPS's but allowed on dedicated servers. Anyway it caused a temporary shortage of both SSD and hard drives.

[–] Ioughttamow@fedia.io 34 points 3 days ago (5 children)

Really wish I had bought some more hdds, NVMe, and ram last November. But I just haaaaad to wait for January

[–] MaggiWuerze@feddit.org 11 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Same. I soon need a new HDD for my growing collection of Linux ISOs. Bought one 24tb drive for about 350 last May and the very same drive now costs 500+

Sure wish I had bought a second one back then

[–] blackberry28@sh.itjust.works 5 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Y do u collect Linux ISOs?

[–] MaggiWuerze@feddit.org 18 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Because I like to stare at them in my free time. Sometimes for like 2-2.5h, sometimes only 1 hour or even 20 minutes.

[–] quarkquasar@lemmy.world 2 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Do you ever stare at them for 26.372 minutes?

[–] MaggiWuerze@feddit.org 3 points 2 days ago

That's the sweet spot

[–] Ioughttamow@fedia.io 3 points 2 days ago (1 children)

lol, that was about the size drive I was targeting. I got one for Xmas at least, but then the price just kept going up and up and up. I wanted to get 4 or 5 more to set up a raid array

[–] MaggiWuerze@feddit.org 3 points 2 days ago

I'm just glad the SMART values of mine all look good. I might have to slow down my acquisition of Linux ISOs for a little, but I hope it gets better soon

[–] village604@adultswim.fan 4 points 2 days ago

I can't even buy the ram I need anymore, even if I wanted to pay out the ass for it.

[–] AliasVortex@lemmy.world 4 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Same. My sister bought a kit of two 16gb sodimm sticks back in October for ~$100. I regret trying to wait for holiday deals...

[–] Damage@feddit.it 4 points 3 days ago

I bought a framework laptop without RAM just before all this, decided to splurge on 2x24GB sticks. I'm glad I did but I still wish I bought bigger ones.

[–] Maestro@fedia.io 4 points 3 days ago

I am sooo glad I got my new gaming rig last black friday, even though it wasn't a great discount

[–] plz1@sh.itjust.works 6 points 2 days ago (1 children)

so buy RAM and SSDs now.

Ah, so, marketing, not news...

[–] Anti_Iridium@lemmy.world 2 points 2 days ago

I mean, both times in two years ive bought storage/ram the prices have increased afterwards. So depends on how much you need it/can wait.

[–] Mrkawfee@lemmy.world 10 points 3 days ago (1 children)

I bought a a 2Tb NVme last April and it has has since doubled in price. Crazy times man. Guess I'm sitting on my rig for the foreseeable.

[–] yabai@lemmy.world 4 points 2 days ago

Same, bought 2x22TB enterprise HDDs for $260 each in May of last year. Even recertified ones now go for $650. Praying they don't die

[–] TwodogsFighting@lemdro.id 3 points 2 days ago

Two decades of being twatted on the nose for price fixing disappears in one year.

[–] goatinspace@feddit.org 4 points 3 days ago
[–] TIEPilot@lemmy.world 3 points 3 days ago

Brings me back to the 90's, remember the RAM dealers at the computer swap meets/parts conventions?