this post was submitted on 04 Apr 2026
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Politics
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The Gulf states economy is entirely based on 3 pillars:
Selling oil, acting as a hub for air travel, and being the "safe" tourist destination in the middle east.
This war destroyed all 3 on the first day.
On top of that, the Gulf states get all their drinking water from desalination plants in range of Iran missiles.
That's not a situation any country can tolerate for more than a few months.
Now the US has shown that they aren't capable of opening the Strait or protecting the Gulf states.
And Iran has shown that they will let ships through if they're from countries that don't support the US in this war.
The only prudent move for the Gulf states is to ditch the US.
Exactly. Iran said as much last week. It's widely believed (but not confirmed) that Macron did a deal with Tehran to allow that French tanker through today.
The Iranians have made association with the US a liability for anyone who needs gulf oil and there is nothing the US can do to stop it.