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Scientists typically declare an El Niño when sea surface temperatures in a key area of the Pacific are 0.5C or more above the long-term average.
Current measurements show that they are well over 2C above normal.
Latest forecasts from the Met Office suggest that this warming could exceed 3C later this year as El Niño nears its peak.
This is fucked. We’re so fucked. I don’t see how we undo the damage to our environment without millions or billions of deaths and displacements.
I really wanted to look into the claim made in the article:
The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) says there is "no evidence" that climate change increases the frequency or strength of El Niño events.
However, this is an ongoing area of research and debate for scientists.
As far as I can tell, there is some nuance going on here that will be easily misleading.
What they are saying is that climate change doesn't make for worse El Niño events, nor more frequent - the ENSO mechanism that causes them happens regardless and itself has not changed due to climate change
What they're not saying here but other places do note: The baseline hotter climate of climate change DOES mean that they are worse because the background temp is already hotter, also it's believed that the hotter climate causes a "tipping point" into an El Niño more frequently
So alas, either way you state that, there is room for someone to pipe up and be all "nuh-uh!".
Definitely one of the things where sound bites makes it worse.
Thank you, I was confused by that, but your explanation makes sense.
I kinda appreciated the article in that it made me go look that up and learn something. lol. I'm glad it was helpful to post :)
At what point will these scientists upgrade El Niño to El Hombre?
Fun Fact. Named El Niño by Peruvians because effects were strong in December. Have heard it is a sarcastic term, equating conditions that cause large destructive storms to the christ child bringing gifts.
And then El Señor?
El Viejo
(Señor does not mean Senior)
So far
Yep. This is literally the nicest the weather will be in the youngest generations memory for life, as they get older shit will get even worse far faster.
It's not living memory, it's strong than any records going back 600 years.
……so far.
they are calling it super el nino
I thought they would call it El Hombre
Monster el nino!
Godzilla vs El Niño
Do they ultimately team up and and fight against Mecha Oil Industry?
I do hope so
So do I need to buy snow tires or no
Climate change will make winters more extreme as well, at least for now.
Canned goods and 12-bore shells would be a wiser investment.
I've kissed mermaids, rode the El Niño
Walked the sand with the crustaceans
Could find my way to Mariana
On a wave of mutilation
Wave of mutilation
Wave of mutilation, wave
Wave
Why is it called that? 🤔
Peruvian fisherman.
More specifically the fishermen noticed the waters warmed up around Christmas, and El Niño refers to baby Jesus, because the event happened every few years around Christmas time so it was a way of saying “that weird Christmas time warm water weather events us fishermen noticed first”