this post was submitted on 11 Sep 2026
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collapse of the old society

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cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ca/post/70759119

Looking into it all, the Houthi takeover of the Bab el-Mandeb area signals a fundamental restructuring of Red Sea security, transforming the chokepoint from a contested transit corridor into a frontline in the wider Iran-Israel confrontation. By extending its reach from Yemen’s western coast into the strait itself, Tehran has gained greater leverage over one of the world’s most critical maritime routes while drawing the Horn of Africa deeper into the strategic fallout of the Middle East conflict.

That shift also changes the challenge facing those seeking to secure the waterway. Conventional freedom-of-navigation patrols and intermittent retaliatory strikes will struggle to contain a threat built around dispersed coastal positions, low-cost drones, missiles, and flexible logistics networks. The more likely outcome is a prolonged period of elevated maritime risk, higher freight and insurance costs, and increasingly fragmented security arrangements.

also see https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/11/iran-houthi-allies-capture-strategic-island-bab-al-mandab-strait

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