this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2026
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I think the question should have been, what is the probability of a bomb going off if there are 2 bombs on the plane.

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[–] jack_of_sandwich@lemmy.sdf.org 28 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Taking a bomb with you when you fly reduces your chances of blowing up on a plane because there's probably at least a 20% chance TSA will stop you before you get on the plane.

[–] ArmoredThirteen@lemmy.zip 8 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I doubt the TSA has that high a success rate

[–] cheers_queers@lemmy.zip 10 points 1 week ago

it's less than 5 percent iirc

[–] kender242@lemmy.world 14 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Required reading for a course I took https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trust_in_Numbers

Basically, it's difficult to make numbers tell the truth, but somehow people really trust things that are quantifiable, and it's totally unwarranted.

[–] OpenStars@discuss.online 9 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

I mean, except, you know, for it being the very bedrock foundation for all of STEM.

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[–] kender242@lemmy.world 9 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)
[–] OpenStars@discuss.online 6 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Absolutely, or rather I should say relatively.

Like "an electron can be in multiple places at once" is also a lie, except that "an electron may have multiple solutions to its waveform equation" is a better formulation of the truth.

It is not so much numbers - or at least not them only that lie - so much as that the human brain is desperate to make use of literally anything and everything it can to achieve its objectives. And numbers happen to be powerful so it loves to grab ahold of those, but it would just as readily grab ahold of a bowl of petunias as we all plummet collectively down through the gravity well of time, decrying "not again".

img

We would all do well to be more skeptical of things than we are now. And not only about numbers.

[–] majster@lemmy.zip 2 points 1 week ago
[–] TheSlad@sh.itjust.works 14 points 1 week ago

The right question is "what is the probability of someone else bringing a bomb on the plane", which is independent of whether or not you bring your own.

[–] MonkderVierte@lemmy.zip 6 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I think No Game No Life explained probability theory exceedingly well.

[–] tiramichu@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (2 children)

And now I'm sad we never got another season.

Again.

[–] TargaryenTKE@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago

And now I gotta rewatch the one and only season we'll get for like the 8th time to remind me of what we could've had

[–] Siethron@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago

I mean, we're getting a Psyren anime later this year, so anything is possible.