Imperious_melange

Some places it's warranted and in others it's not. I would say most places in the US where people behave that way it doesn't seem warranted. Its funny, I live mostly in a third world country these days and even I had fear and trepidation about my first time coming here years ago but honestly it's safer than places I've lived in the US and in some ways far more free. Want to live off grid? Have a well, be off the electrical grid? Cool no problem. Want to build a structure? No permits needed if you own the land.

I don't think anyone is assuming it will stay at its current efficiency and there will be zero improvements. A lot of the everyday AI use cases will likely be pushed to someone's personal device aka your phone. In the same way a lot of Uber and Spotify is handled by your personal device today. What we've seen for years now is the development of these gargantuan models that are then condensed down into much smaller models with 90%+ of the same effectiveness. Simultaneously we will see and are seeing devices sold with better NPU's for edge compute for AI the same we've seen the push for more edge compute to manage other services such as Uber and Spotify.

Across this thread and others there's like this implicit assumption AI will never progress beyond where it is right now in spite of the evidence of its almost exponential growth. It's really interesting.

It's nice living somewhere where that fear doesn't even pass someone's mind.

That's cattywampus

So proximity to an urban area is the difference between something being fine and something being bad? Out of sight, out of mind I guess.

Good luck, the majority of people don't understand what's happening and the other half who are barely entertaining it are so doubtful as to call anyone taking it seriously crazy but it is crazy what's happening. Also you have multiple nations working on this so you would need a coordinated global offence that can break through the defence of the most powerful militaries on earth ideally simultaneously. I have doubts anyone is capable of what you're saying.

I (alongside most in the field globally) think what will be developed will have quite serious implications. There is a race between two adversaries aka US and China to achieve self improving AI first and solve the bottleneck of compute and power because whoever has the superior AI aka thinking machine will be able to outthink and out plan the other, not just now but in perpetuity.

Personally I seriously hope for humanity we're all wrong. We are moving at a pace where I doubt we will solve the alignment problem and if this comes to pass and this thing isn't more compassionate than us I have doubts we as a species will continue much further. What I'm saying isn't fringe in the slightest, this is being taken seriously by that greatest in the fields of mathematics and computer science and particularly the individuals working on AI development.

This is the final bet, possibly the last invention of humanity.

I can appreciate that stance and from the outside that's my consensus. Personally the stories that I know Christ is just a placeholder, the personification of unconditional love, hope, and forgiveness and that alone, unattached to moreso problematic ideas or stories that seem to cause, not decrease needless suffering I can always get behind.

He's fundamentally a deeply narcissistic scammer who will always act in his self interest at the end of the day. Honestly I wasn't even against the old republican party, the one that was more so libertarian, small government, decreased spending and the deficit and so on. Of course over the decades that party got hijacked and Trump is almost the final evolution of it into a full blown fascist white christian nationalist party. Unfortunately for them and somewhat fortunately for us all he actually doesn't care about the party, the country, or really anything beyond what glorifies him.

Got anything besides my quotes to give your argument credibility?

I'm pretty sure a lot of them don't know the difference or understand how mind breaking it is that some of these achievements are happening. Of course alpha fold is old news and the solutions to the Erods problems is something that should be raising eyebrows. These models are fundamentally just math and a model that's better than humans at math can theoretically design a stronger model than us.

We are not cursed to repeat bad decisions. We can use our will to create better outcomes.